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Category: Hurricane forecast

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Fewer hurricanes in July? Here’s how Hurricane Beryl and dust could affect storms

Now that Hurricane Beryl has traveled across the Atlantic and broken numerous records, such as being the earliest Category 5 storm in recorded history, what’s next for hurricane development in the Atlantic? The good news is that powerful hurricanes such as Beryl often consume heat energy, and can create upwellings of cool water. That cooler water then curbs storm formation. But Beryl may not play out that way, said climate researcher Brian McNoldy with the University of Miami’s Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science. McNoldy checked his data points and said that sea-surface...

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Category 4 Hurricane Beryl, bearing down on Barbados, has Jamaica in its path; Tropical Storm Chris forms near Mexico

Beryl became the season’s first major hurricane on Sunday, reaching Category 4 strength as it approached the Caribbean with winds topping 130 mph, forecasters said, and late Sunday, the season saw its third storm to be named. Beryl has strengthened rapidly since forming and is likely to bring “life-threatening winds and storm surge” on its approach to the far eastern Caribbean early Monday, according to the National Hurricane Center. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft investigated the hurricane on Sunday, recording maximum sustained wind speeds of at least 130 mph with higher gusts. It is forecast...

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Hurricane Beryl continues ‘rapid intensification’ as Caribbean braces for Category 3 winds

Beryl, which became the first hurricane of the season at 5 p.m. Saturday, saw its maximum sustained winds continue increasing, reaching 85 mph at the 11 p.m. advisory. The system’s strength continued to increase, with the hurricane center — saying Beryl was “rapidly intensifying” — forecasting the storm to achieve top wind speeds of 120 mph as it sweeps through the Caribbean Sea, the hurricane center said. “Beryl is expected to be a dangerous major hurricane when it reaches the Windward Islands late Sunday night or Monday, bringing destructive hurricane-force winds and life-threatening storm...

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Tropical Storm Beryl expected to become season’s first hurricane

Tropical Storm Beryl, which formed late Friday, is expected to become the first hurricane of the 2024 season this weekend, the National Hurricane Center said. As of 11 p.m. Friday, Beryl was 1,110 miles east-southeast of Barbados and moving west at 18 mph. Its maximum sustained winds were 40 mph, and tropical-storm-force winds extended 45 miles from its center. “Development this far east in late June is unusual,” the forecasters at the hurricane center said. “In fact, there have only been a few storms in history that have formed over the central or eastern tropical Atlantic this early in the...

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System in Gulf brings rain to Mexico as chances for development dwindle

An area of stormy weather in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico could bring localized flooding to parts of northeastern Mexico Sunday, though its chances for tropical development are steadily dwindling. The large area of showers and thunderstorms was located about 20 miles southeast of La Pesca, Mexico, as of 8 p.m. and was due to head inland, according to the National Hurricane Center. Its odds of developing dropped to 10% from 40% earlier in the day. The next named storm will be Beryl. The 2024 hurricane season, which officially began June 1, is expected to be extremely active. In its annual...

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System in Gulf likely to bring heavy rain, flooding to Mexico and Texas

An area of stormy weather in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico could still become a tropical depression this weekend before reaching the coast of northeastern Mexico on Sunday night, forecasters said. The large area of showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf lacked a well-defined center by Saturday evening and its odds of developing have decreased since earlier in the week. However, heavy rain is likely to cause flooding in parts of southeastern Mexico and southern Texas regardless through the end of the weekend, the National Hurricane Center said Saturday. It is expected to drift...

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Potential tropical system could develop in southwestern Caribbean Sea

After a brief pause of activity in the tropics late in the hurricane season, forecasters are now watching for a possible system to develop in the southwestern Caribbean Sea. The National Hurricane Center said Thursday night that a broad area of low pressure could form by the middle of next week and slowly develop as it moves over the southwestern Caribbean. As of 7 p.m. Thursday, forecasters gave the system low odds of developing in the next two to seven days. There have been 19 named storms this Atlantic hurricane season, seven of which were hurricanes. Three of them were major hurricanes,...

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Philippe to become Category 1 hurricane this week; Rina downgraded

Tropical Storm Philippe is expected to become a Category 1 hurricane later this week with top winds of 85 mph, while a weakening Rina was downgraded to a tropical depression on Sunday. The two neighboring tropical systems had interacted last week in an uncommon phenomenon in the Atlantic. The Fujiwhara Effect is a binary interaction where two tropical cyclones within 345 miles to about 860 miles of each other start to spin around a common point, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The bigger of the two sometimes absorbs the smaller storm, or the smaller storm “will...

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Historic fishing village prepares for Hurricane Idalia’s devastating storm surge

CEDAR KEY — Ahead of Hurricane Idalia’s landfall, expected early Wednesday, residents of this historic, Gulf coast fishing village renowned for its waterfront seafood restaurants and quaint stores were wondering whether their luck was about to run out. On the edge of the Gulf of Mexico, windows were boarded Tuesday, businesses were empty and cars were missing from driveways. A few people on golf carts drove along the island’s roads ahead of the storm — just before an evacuation. Forecasters predicted the storm would strengthen to at least a Category 3 hurricane before landfall, with storm surges...

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Powerful Hurricane Hilary heads for Mexico’s Baja. Rare tropical storm watch issued for California

By IGNACIO MARTINEZ and JULIE WATSON (Associated Press) CABO SAN LUCAS, Mexico (AP) — Hurricane Hilary churned off Mexico’s Pacific coast Friday as a powerful Category 4 storm threatening to unleash torrential rains on the mudslide-prone border city of Tijuana before heading into Southern California as the first tropical storm there in 84 years. Forecasters warned the storm could cause extreme flooding, mudslides and even tornadoes across the region. Hilary grew rapidly in strength early Friday before losing some steam, with its maximum sustained winds at 130 mph (215 kph) Frday night, down...

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