Who has the edge? Dolphins vs. Raiders, looking to build toward a season comeback
Here’s a look at how the Miami Dolphins (3-6) and Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) match up in six key areas ahead of Sunday’s Week 11 game at Hard Rock Stadium (1 p.m., CBS):
When the Dolphins run: Miami had been running the ball well of late, but Monday night’s win over the Los Angeles Rams produced the team’s lowest rushing output since Week 3 at Seattle. The Dolphins had just 67 rushing yards. De’Von Achane got the bulk of the work, with 37 yards on 12 carries, but Raheem Mostert went without a carry and rookie Jaylen Wright had just 3 yards on five attempts.
Coach Mike McDaniel also showed a willingness to bring his wide receivers to the outside on end-around runs. One worked splendidly, for the Dolphins’ opening-drive touchdown against the Rams, with rookie Malik Washington scoring on the ground. Miami’s offensive line has stood out run-blocking, especially left tackle Terron Armstead and center Aaron Brewer. But right tackle Austin Jackson is now out for the season, and left guard Robert Jones’ status is in question with a knee injury.
Christian Wilkins’ foot injury spoils his return to Miami with the Raiders, but in his absence, Las Vegas has another pair of former Dolphins defensive linemen in John Jenkins and Adam Butler. As the Raiders rank 22nd against the run, linebacker Robert Spillane leads the team with 86 tackles. If Miami fullback Alec Ingold can return from the calf injury that sidelined him Monday, that should swing this in the Dolphins’ favor. Edge: Dolphins
When the Raiders run: Las Vegas is dead last in the NFL in rushing offense. The Raiders will give a trio of backs — Alexander Mattison, Zamir White and Ameer Abdullah — carries, but none of them possess major game-changing abilities with their opportunities. On top of that, two of their better offensive linemen — left tackle Kolton Miller and center Andre James — were hobbled early in the practice week.
The Dolphins run defense is ranked 12th and did another fine job against the Rams with defensive tackle Zach Sieler back to lead the unit. Los Angeles workhorse tailback Kyren Williams was held to 62 yards on 15 carries. Da’Shawn Hand forced a fumble on him. Fellow defensive tackle Calais Campbell has been sensational all around for Miami, and the insertion of Anthony Walker Jr. into the starting lineup at linebacker has produced sound results. Edge: Dolphins
When the Dolphins pass: Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa took a little bit of a step back Monday night after his remarkably efficient performance against the Buffalo Bills the previous week. He turned the ball over twice as part of a run of a few mistakes in the first half, but he did bounce back in the second half in his third game back from concussion.
Tagovailoa has largely had to spread the ball out deep into his corps of pass-catchers as opponents play their two-high shells to limit big plays to wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. They try to get going against a Raiders pass defense that ranks 11th. The Dolphins are familiar with former Patriots cornerback Jack Jones in their secondary, and safety Tre’von Moehrig has a pair of interceptions back there.
But the biggest concern for the Dolphins will be in containing edge rusher Maxx Crosby in pass protection. With Jackson now done for the year, Miami may stick with veteran tackle Kendall Lamm on the right side of the line. As the Raiders move Crosby and his 6 1/2 sacks around, watch out for coach Antonio Pierce to try to exploit Lamm on the right side with him. That’s Tagovailoa’s blind side as a left-handed thrower, so he’ll need to be mindful and consistently get the ball out quickly. Edge: Even
When the Raiders pass: Pierce opted for Gardner Minshew to get the start at quarterback. This year for Las Vegas, he is completing 67 percent of passes for 1,501 yards, six touchdowns and eight interceptions in seven starts. He has led the Raiders to their only two wins this season. And he may have to throw plenty, if they’re not going to run the ball much, especially if they play from behind.
With former All-Pro wide receiver Davante Adams traded to the New York Jets midseason, rookie tight end Brock Bowers leads Raiders pass-catchers with 57 receptions for 580 yards. Expect Dolphins defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver to give him different looks, between safeties, tight ends and maybe even elite cornerback Jalen Ramsey in coverage. Ramsey can also take on wide receiver Jakobi Meyers for a cornerbacks unit that should be without Kendall Fuller (concussion). That could mean action for Cam Smith again or for Storm Duck behind Ramsey and Kader Kohou.
The Miami pass rush finally got going as best it has this season with four sacks Monday night at SoFi Stadium. Rookie Chop Robinson had one for a second consecutive week. Campbell had one. Quinton Bell got his first of the season off the edge, while forcing a fumble, and safety Jevon Holland had another on a blitz. Linebacker Jordyn Brooks also could’ve been credited with one that didn’t count officially as a sack because of a Matthew Stafford fumble. Campbell and Sieler are getting their hand up to bat balls at the line of scrimmage when they can’t get home — a Campbell deflection led to a Walker interception Monday. Edge: Dolphins
Special teams: Dolphins kicker Jason Sanders has gone three consecutive games without missing a kick. Punter Jake Bailey has had back-to-back games with short punts that may not have been connected on correctly, though. Miami special teams, which ranks at the bottom of the league by advanced metrics, could get a boost in the return of Dee Eskridge in the return game after missing one outing.
Raiders punter AJ Cole is one of the more highly regarded at his position in the league. Kicker Daniel Carlson has made 16 of 18 field goals and all his extra points. Edge: Raiders
Intangibles: The Raiders come off their bye week before the long west-to-east travel to play the 10 a.m. kickoff for their time zone. But Miami has an opportunity to get back on track with its playoff hopes and build off a needed win at Los Angeles. A return home to face two teams with a combined five wins — the Patriots to follow next week — should be just what the Dolphins need to get to 5-6 heading into Thanksgiving, but they can’t look ahead. Edge: Dolphins
PREDICTION: Dolphins 24, Raiders 13
Dolphins Deep Dive: Prediction time — will Raiders be a get-right game for Miami? | VIDEO
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