Top Dolphins-Patriots prop bet predictions from Chris Perkins, David Furones

MIAMI GARDENS — The South Florida Sun Sentinel’s Miami Dolphins writers are picking out a pair of prop bets each week in the 2024 season.

Dolphins columnist Chris Perkins and Dolphins reporter David Furones, neither of whom condone gambling, will make predictions on player props they believe will occur for every Dolphins matchup.

Each writer will offer their “Best Bet,” a near 50-50 proposition they believe will occur, and a “Longshot,” which has to be given betting odds of at least +300, or 3-to-1 probability.

Odds are according to the Hard Rock Bet app. Also make sure to check out the Sun Sentinel’s game predictions for Monday.

Here are their thoughts on Sunday’s game at the New England Patriots:

Perk’s Best Best: Over 36.5 (-110)

There’s a mathematics rule that says when you multiply or divide two negatives it equals a positive. These are the two lowest-scoring offenses in the NFL, the Dolphins at 11.3 points per game and the Patriots at 13.0 ppg. That’s the negatives. Multiplying and dividing? Not sure. I failed math. But bet the over. Both teams are gonna score, relatively speaking.

Furones’ Best Bet: Jacoby Brissett over 0.5 interceptions (+100)

The former Dwyer High standout and one-time Dolphins backup has taken care of the ball with just one interception in his first four games, but the Dolphins get one against him Sunday.

With Kendall Fuller back off concussion protocol and Jalen Ramsey maybe baiting Brissett into a throw he shouldn’t make, Miami picks off at least one pass, as this defense has each of the past two games.

Both reporters are 2-2 on their best bets after each won last week.

Perk’s Longshot: Tyler Huntley 12+ rushing attempts (+600)

Look at this in a couple of ways: Plays that are called for Huntley to run, and plays in which Huntley must scramble because pass protection breaks down. You don’t want him running this much, but it could be a formula for moving the ball and, ultimately, winning.

Furones’ Longshot: Jaylen Waddle anytime TD (+325)

OK, if my score prediction is 13-12, that doesn’t bode well to pick any individual player to get into the end zone. But I’ll say Waddle gets one.

Patriots coach Jerod Mayo, like Bill Belichick before him, will try to take away an opponent’s best playmaker. That’s Tyreek Hill for the Dolphins. This opens things up for Waddle against a banged-up New England secondary. Plus, Waddle has scored a touchdown in four of his previous six games against the Patriots.

Both reporters are 0-4 on longshots.